National Crime Agency publishes 2017 analysis of serious and organised crime threats


29 June 2017

The National Crime Agency today publishes its fourth annual public analysis of the nature and scale of serious and organised crime affecting the UK.
The 2017 National Strategic Assessment has been put together using knowledge from across UK law enforcement, government departments and the intelligence community.
For the first time the threats have been categorized into three broad headings:
-      Vulnerability - including child sexual exploitation and abuse (CSEA), modern slavery and human trafficking (MSHT) and organised immigration crime;
-      Prosperity - including cyber crime, money laundering and other economic crime, and;
-      Commodity - including the illicit trade in firearms and drugs.
Observations from the 2017 assessment include:
-      The exploitation of both general maritime and general aviation for organised immigration crime as well as commodity smuggling;
-      The scale of modern slavery and human trafficking is increasing steadily and the threat is growing;
-      Corruption becoming a key vulnerability, with corrupt workers at ports, airports and in the logistics sector facilitating breaches of border control, and corrupt individuals working in the financial and legal sectors facilitating money laundering and fraud;
-      The rise of the dark web as an international market place for firearms, drugs and indecent images of children;
-      The continued rise of social media opportunities for offenders driving an increase in the volume of child sexual exploitation referrals to law enforcement;
NCA Deputy Director General Matthew Horne said:
“The NCA has a pivotal role in leading the UK's fight to cut serious and organised crime; this assessment provides us and our policing and law enforcement partners with a sound understanding of the threats we face.

“What is striking from this year’s assessment are the themes running through the crime types. Organised criminal networks are using online methods to defraud and extort, but also facilitate the abuse of children and advertise the victims of human trafficking and modern slavery.

“Similarly, the threat from corruption encompasses a huge range of sectors and professional enablers, from bank insiders and accountants involved in high end money laundering, through to port workers and delivery drivers facilitating drug trafficking.

“Criminal networks themselves are diversifying and it is not uncommon to find the same groups involved in trafficking people or illicit commodities, using the same methods or infrastructure.

“These threats do not exist in silos, nor should our response. The NSA shows us how important a whole system approach to UK national security has become, with the NCA and its partners maximizing our collective impact by working together to keep the public safe.”
The full NSA is available at

Share this Page: